Bernie Sanders Set to Win Wisconsin Primary: Here’s the Maths

 

 

The Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary poll published by the Marquette University Law School in a poll of 957 people in Wisconsin out of which 405 candidates indicates that 49.2% of those polled supporting Bernie Sanders and 44.9% of those polled supporting Hilary Clinton. This indicates that 381 out of 957 or 39.8% out of those surveyed were willing to state to pollsters their willingness to vote for a Democrat Candidate.

In real terms do the maths these figure transferred to the Democrat Primary on April 5th would mean, Bernie Sanders would pick up 52.2% of the vote or 45 delegates compared to Hillary Clinton  47.8% of the vote:

Wisconson Projection

So based on these projected results Bernie Sanders will narrow the delegate lead of Hillary Clinton by six votes heading into the Wyoming Caucus with 14 delegates on offer on the 9th of April and the New York Primary on the 19th April with 247 delegates on offer.

Wisconson Projection Delegate.jpg

The mainstream media has already declared Hillary Clinton the winner of the Democrat Party primary process with only around half of the delegates chosen based on polls. The mainstream media failed miserably to predict the outstanding recent for Bernie Sanders Idaho, Utah, Alsaka, Washington and Hawaii where Sanders achieved surprise massive victories achieving between 70-80% of the vote despite polls showing either even races of slight leads for Hillary Clinton. So what has been wrong with the polls?

The basic issue with the polls is that they only publishing results for Democrat registered voters whilst the Democrat primaries have been open to independent and non-aligned voters. The secret to the success of Bernie Sanders has been his ability to not only inspire but to muster these independent and non-aligned voters to the Democrat Primary’s and Caucuses. With the key Democrat Primary’s in Wisconsin fast approaching a new poll about voters intentions have been released showing Bernie Sanders growing support in this state. Currently insurgent candidate Bernie Sanders has 980 pledged delegates compared to the establishments Hillary Clinton with 1243 pledges. Super delegates at this stage are irrelevant in the count and their constant inclusion by the media seems to be an attempt to help build up the concept of Hillary Clinton’s inevitable winning of the Democrat nomination which is from from settled at this stage of the contest.

Click here for the full of the Marquette University Law School Poll

 

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