Wyoming Primary All About Cowboy Hats and Escalators

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Presidential politics has often been accused of being poll driven personality based politics so its interesting to see questions about the need for more escalators and on the ownership of cowboys hat appear in a poll about voters intentions for the Wyoming Presidential Primary’s

The poll taken by Public Policy Polling on  July 24 2013 is the last poll taken of Wyoming voters intentions in the lead-up to the 2016 Presidential election. The poll questions were more surprising than the results with Hillary soundly beaten by all the Republican presidential candidates.

It does however appear that with the upcoming Democrat and Republican Primary’s that promising to ban escalators would be a real vote winner in Wyoming ‘The Equality State’, as would the donning of a cowboy hat considering 55% of voters in the state claim to own one. It will be interesting to see if any of the poll driven personality based candidates respond to the polling by promising to stop the building of escalators in Wyoming whilst wearing a cowboy hat.

What we know about the candidates and the opinion to wearing cowboy hats.

Bernie Sanders once met the Pothole Bandit who liked to wear a cowboy hat

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Donald Trump wearing this most American piece of headgear on TV

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John Kaisch position like most things position unknown

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Zodiac Killer Ted Cruz like cowboy hats just not on his head

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Hillary Clinton likes to wear cowboy hats on Halloween to scare people

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Oh and Hillary Clinton once had an election ad feature a fake country singer in a cowboy hat that was so bad she had the video pulled from Youtube

Bernie Sanders Set to Win Wisconsin Primary: Here’s the Maths

 

 

The Wisconsin Democratic Presidential Primary poll published by the Marquette University Law School in a poll of 957 people in Wisconsin out of which 405 candidates indicates that 49.2% of those polled supporting Bernie Sanders and 44.9% of those polled supporting Hilary Clinton. This indicates that 381 out of 957 or 39.8% out of those surveyed were willing to state to pollsters their willingness to vote for a Democrat Candidate.

In real terms do the maths these figure transferred to the Democrat Primary on April 5th would mean, Bernie Sanders would pick up 52.2% of the vote or 45 delegates compared to Hillary Clinton  47.8% of the vote:

Wisconson Projection

So based on these projected results Bernie Sanders will narrow the delegate lead of Hillary Clinton by six votes heading into the Wyoming Caucus with 14 delegates on offer on the 9th of April and the New York Primary on the 19th April with 247 delegates on offer.

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The mainstream media has already declared Hillary Clinton the winner of the Democrat Party primary process with only around half of the delegates chosen based on polls. The mainstream media failed miserably to predict the outstanding recent for Bernie Sanders Idaho, Utah, Alsaka, Washington and Hawaii where Sanders achieved surprise massive victories achieving between 70-80% of the vote despite polls showing either even races of slight leads for Hillary Clinton. So what has been wrong with the polls?

The basic issue with the polls is that they only publishing results for Democrat registered voters whilst the Democrat primaries have been open to independent and non-aligned voters. The secret to the success of Bernie Sanders has been his ability to not only inspire but to muster these independent and non-aligned voters to the Democrat Primary’s and Caucuses. With the key Democrat Primary’s in Wisconsin fast approaching a new poll about voters intentions have been released showing Bernie Sanders growing support in this state. Currently insurgent candidate Bernie Sanders has 980 pledged delegates compared to the establishments Hillary Clinton with 1243 pledges. Super delegates at this stage are irrelevant in the count and their constant inclusion by the media seems to be an attempt to help build up the concept of Hillary Clinton’s inevitable winning of the Democrat nomination which is from from settled at this stage of the contest.

Click here for the full of the Marquette University Law School Poll